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-The Connolly Report (since 1981) is no longer printed. It's a blog. Four or so pages a month with scores of ideas, links, yield and dividend data (going back decades) about dividend growth investing. Summaries of reports for the last decade are here [[report summaries]] +The Connolly Report (since 1981) is no longer printed. It's a blog. Four or so pages a month with scores of ideas, links, yield and dividend data (going back decades) about dividend growth investing. Summaries of printed reports over the last decade are here [[report summaries]]
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  * How can it be? How can a dividend increase affect the price of a stock? Especially if it's only a cent or two. It's unbelievably simple: an investment that produces more income becomes more valuable. Metro's dividend in 2019, for instance, increased from 18¢ to 20¢. That's up 11%. Do you believe that MRU's price will rise by 11% also? It will. The proof, developed over decades, is inside. Another: BMO's dividend went from $3.78 to $4 this year: up 7.3%. As a result, BMO's price will rise too. Year after year wealth/capital builds.   * How can it be? How can a dividend increase affect the price of a stock? Especially if it's only a cent or two. It's unbelievably simple: an investment that produces more income becomes more valuable. Metro's dividend in 2019, for instance, increased from 18¢ to 20¢. That's up 11%. Do you believe that MRU's price will rise by 11% also? It will. The proof, developed over decades, is inside. Another: BMO's dividend went from $3.78 to $4 this year: up 7.3%. As a result, BMO's price will rise too. Year after year wealth/capital builds.
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 +{{divup_priceup_77_87.pdf|}} ← Evidence that as the dividend rises, the price will too (Aug 2020).
  * Dividend growth investors focus on the income their assets produce. Over the years, in aggregate, our dividends grow. From January 2008, the 24 Connolly Report dividend growth stocks grew 8.6% a year. The 2008 yield was 3.2%, so our return was 11.8%. Very few income funds grow their distributions. Dividend growth investors do not have to depend upon the size of the pot to fund our retirement. And here's the real bounty: our pot keeps growing as retirement progresses driven by dividend increases. A company that provides more income is more valuable: so, it's price rises too. It's not only true, but common sense. You can still join our group.   * Dividend growth investors focus on the income their assets produce. Over the years, in aggregate, our dividends grow. From January 2008, the 24 Connolly Report dividend growth stocks grew 8.6% a year. The 2008 yield was 3.2%, so our return was 11.8%. Very few income funds grow their distributions. Dividend growth investors do not have to depend upon the size of the pot to fund our retirement. And here's the real bounty: our pot keeps growing as retirement progresses driven by dividend increases. A company that provides more income is more valuable: so, it's price rises too. It's not only true, but common sense. You can still join our group.
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 +//Income Investing Explained// by Henry Mah is just out - Henry answers questions about dividend income investing. I have just finished reading //Income Investing Explained//. It’s excellent. If you wish to learn about dividend growth investing, Henry's ideas will certainly help. Here's a sample from Chapter 5 (page 128)" "Because capital preservation is always a concern for older investors, I strongly recommend that all stock investments be made in the highest quality dividend growth stocks you can find. Don't speculate or seek higher yielding stocks. Stick with the best of the best and take comfort in knowing that your investments will be safe and more productive than any fixed asset product."
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 +https://www.amazon.ca/Income-Investing-Explained-Questions-Answered-ebook/dp/B08GCD53JL/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=Income+Investing+Explained+paperback&qid=1598978149&sr=8-1
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  * The December 2019 blog inside this site - At the top of the December blog page is the annual summary spreadsheet - 32 companies showing year-by-year dividends for a decade across the page. And, on the left side is the average 2009 price, on the right site in the late 2019 price. This allows us to show CAGR for dividends over the ten years and CAGR for price for the same ten years. This data exposes the secret of dividend growth investing. It is there in plain sight with an 80% correlation: dividend growth of the 32 companies was an average 8.2% a year, price growth was 8.6%. You can easily pick out the winners (top of list) and the losers at the bottom. $50 for access to this PDF and ten years of Connolly Reports (back to 2009) . . . to me in Kingston or our daughter in Toronto.   * The December 2019 blog inside this site - At the top of the December blog page is the annual summary spreadsheet - 32 companies showing year-by-year dividends for a decade across the page. And, on the left side is the average 2009 price, on the right site in the late 2019 price. This allows us to show CAGR for dividends over the ten years and CAGR for price for the same ten years. This data exposes the secret of dividend growth investing. It is there in plain sight with an 80% correlation: dividend growth of the 32 companies was an average 8.2% a year, price growth was 8.6%. You can easily pick out the winners (top of list) and the losers at the bottom. $50 for access to this PDF and ten years of Connolly Reports (back to 2009) . . . to me in Kingston or our daughter in Toronto.
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 +  * **The wealth management** industry has no skin in their game. And it really is a game for them (with your money). And in most cases, 'the middle people' have no obligation to put your interests first; no fiduciary duty. Do not outsource the job of managing your retirement portfolio to a professional. Most are infected with modern portfolio theory and do not realize that only four percent of companies provide most of the return. They want to sell you scores of securities (ETFs). And professional don't beat the market. As a result, they have changed the yard stick. Nasty people! Now they have their own benchmark so folks won't notice professionals are losers, most of the time. Learn to invest on your own. It is easier selecting a few quality dividend growth stocks (and that's all you need) than being sold one of over one thousand ETFs. Most are steerage class. The ETF you are sold depends upon the advisor latched onto you. May 5 2020
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 +  * Sept 2020 - Does the ETF the predator is trying to sell you provide an increasing income? Ask. Ask to see the last ten years of distributions. Why this question? It's the increasing income that drives things*. Growing income is what you want during retirement. The more your income grows, the less of your savings you'll have to withdraw. Ten years ago our largest portfolio provided $26,367 a year in dividends: now it's over $40,000. * price in particular.
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 +  * **Risk Profile Questionnaire** (new Aug 2020) - When you open an account, 'they' want you to fill in their risk profile questionnaire. DECLINE IT! Say no! Tell them you are aware of the risk and that you have a clearly thought out asset allocation. If you wish, tell them you mitigate risk with quality companies and that you believe "as an investor's time horizon lengthens...equities become less riskier than bonds" (Warren Buffet's Feb 20 Letter, page 6). ♣ If you want to get out of their office with out getting hooked by them, here are two questions they can't answer. **#1** Going back ten years, tell him/her to write out the annual distributions from the specified ETF. You are interested, tell them, in a growing cash flow in retirement. **#2** Ask them to hand-write out the promise that they will put your interests before theirs (FIDUCIARY DUTY).
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 +Advisors pay no price for being wrong. Your interests and the person trying to sell you the ETF are not aligned. Don't let advisors 'play' with your hard-earned retirement savings. And they do 'play' with very polished nonsense and by clicking a few URLs.
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https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-as-a-diy-investor-do-i-need-an-adviser-to-review-my-portfolio/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-as-a-diy-investor-do-i-need-an-adviser-to-review-my-portfolio/
-I would suggest that you do not want or need an advisor (certainly not a robo advisor) to set up a portfolio for you. Advisors, knowing little about investing, will put you into ETFs (a lot of mediocre securities providing little income). To build wealth, you must learn to set up a portfolio yourself. It is easy. There are hundreds of ETFs. There are only a few score of good dividend growing companies. I use TULF to select a Telecom stock (with recurring income); a Utility that has decades of consecutive dividend increase (your retirement income); a Lower yield stable, food retail stock and a Financial (any big bank). Rob Carrick wrote about TULF in November of 2016:+I would suggest that you do not want or need an advisor (certainly not a robo advisor) to set up a portfolio for you. Advisors, knowing little about investing, will put you into ETFs (a lot of mediocre securities providing little income). People who flog ETFs aren't social workers: most have no fiduciary duty to put your interests first. To build wealth, you must learn to set up a portfolio yourself. It is easy. There are close to a thousand ETFs. There are only a few score of good dividend growing companies. I use TULF to select a Telecom stock (with recurring income); a Utility that has decades of consecutive dividend increase (your retirement income); a Lower yield stable, food retail stock and a Financial (any big bank). Rob Carrick wrote about TULF in November of 2016:
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/inside-the-market/how-to-build-a-dividend-portfolio-from-the-ground-up/article32612979/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/inside-the-market/how-to-build-a-dividend-portfolio-from-the-ground-up/article32612979/
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https://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/inside-the-market/the-case-against-dividend-etfs/article32545975/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/inside-the-market/the-case-against-dividend-etfs/article32545975/
 +  * Learn to invest directly in companies yourself, not through middlemen (the so called wealth managers) whose income is from other people's money (annual fees). It's rather easy, really, to do it your self. There are only a handful of great Canadian companies to select from. With ETFs, on the other hand, there are over a thousand.
-  * The purpose of data, charts and comments __inside__ this site to assist subscribers to set up and run a dividend growth portfolio for themselves; a portfolio to deliver growing income in retirement (up 8.2% in 2019) This information is, unfortunately, not free. It is unbiased, though and built on close to 40 years of experience. Refer to the [[About Us]] page for details. Join our group.+  * 25% more - July 24 2020 - How you can increase the cash flow from your retirement capital by 25%? Connolly Report June 2020 blog. SWR - You can raise you sustainable withdrawal rate from the 4% promoted by Wm Bengen to 5%. I have in hand a five page paper about this topic by Jan Blakeley Holman at an investment firm in the States. She's correct. 
 + 
 +♦ Feb 5 2020 * **Wealth Management** - When you hold * individual stocks in a discount brokerage account, there are no on-going annual charges. The banks and other financial intermediaries do not make money on your money. For the financial institutions, this is not good. As a result, they had do to something to generate fees, for doing, essentially, nothing! They invented a contrivance: ETFs. The banks now even discourage you from buying individual stocks.  * **HOLD!** And I mean hold. You must understand why dividend growth investors hold. With each dividend increase, our yield grows. The company becomes more valuable. So, logically, the firm's stock price must increase. Move from being a dividend investor to a dividend growth investor. You can't build wealth with a dividend ETF. They are packed with higher yield dividend stocks. The managers have forgotten that return = yield + growth. Yield alone does not do it. Here is evidence from 12 companies that shows as the dividend goes, so does the price (from 2008 to 2018). And this period, notice, contains the financial crisis. 
 + 
 +https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-the-934-per-cent-yield-and-other-tales-from-canadas-dividend/ 
 + 
 +  *  Feb 18 2020 - Huge. There is a huge difference between a dividend stock and a dividend growth stock. You can't build wealth with ordinary dividend stocks (unless you are lucky and happen to latch on to a company that some day the market gets excited about. The key to our success (explained inside this site) is rising yield/growing cash flow that make the stock more valuable. 
 + 
 +  * The purpose of data, charts and comments __inside__ this site to assist readers to set up and run a dividend growth portfolio for themselves; a portfolio to deliver growing income in retirement (up 8.2% in 2019) This information is, unfortunately, not free. It is unbiased, though, and built on close to 40 years of research and experience. Refer to the [[About Us]] page for details. Join our group
 +  *  
 +July 2020 - You have to ask if advisors really have your interests at heart when their organization is fighting the authorities to keep deferred sales charges...commissions spread out over years ahead.
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https://risingyieldoninvestments.blogspot.com/2019/09/am-i-too-focused-on-just-one-thing.html https://risingyieldoninvestments.blogspot.com/2019/09/am-i-too-focused-on-just-one-thing.html
-WARNING! Be aware that the valuation of the market at the point when you buy into an index ETF significantly determines the return you will return. The N.Y. market made a new highs in late 2019. What's next? The market has been going up for years. It is a foolish time to buy. Exercise restraint! Wait for better prices. ETFs, know, are essentially cattle class ante: no service, no fiduciary duty, clutches of mediocre stocks and you still pay annual fees. For what? A couple of clicks by someone who knows little about real investing because they have been infected by modern portfolio theory.+The valuation of the market at the point when you are sold an index ETF significantly determines the return you will return. The market made a new highs in early 2020. What's next? The market went up for years. It was foolish time to buy. Better prices have arrived. ETFs, know, are essentially cattle class ante: no service, no fiduciary duty, clutches of mediocre stocks and you still pay annual fees. For what? A couple of clicks by someone who knows little about real investing because they have been infected by modern portfolio theory. 
 +  * Advisors pay no price for being wrong: best to avoid them and their ETFs. 
 + 
 +  * **Retirement Planning** - "If you are planning to retire in 10 to 15 years, we think you should consider buying stocks that have long histories of dividend increases. While investors tend to look at the current yield (the indicated dividend divided by the share price) of a stock, we believe yield of cost)the indicated dividend dividend by the share purchase price) may be a more accurate measure of the long term value of a dividend." [S&P's Outlook]. Standard and Poors listed 22 stocks in order of their yield on cost. The average, after a decade was 15%. Are you getting 15% on your retirement investments? Connolly Report Oct 2004 
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 +  * May 19, 2020 → **Retirement Investing** If anyone would, you'd think Jonathan Clements, a reporter with the Wall Street Journal since 1990, would get it right. But he didn't. Mr Clements omitted the concept of dividend growth in a column on retirement investing. In the opening statement of his February 1, 2004 column in the Sunday New York Times (link: February 2004 Connolly Report), Clements argued "that the stock bond mix you hold in retirement shouldn't be radically different from the mix you held just before quitting the work force". He is right of course, and Clements had some compelling arguments and other good ideas in the column. But he missed what could have been his best point. Clements said "if you are determined to spend only income, there isn't much incentive to hold stocks, with their miserable 1½% average dividend yield. Instead we are almost inevitable driven to buy bonds and other investments that generate a fair amount of income." TC: If a person owned common stocks before retirement, as Clements maintained in his opening sentence, surely some of those stocks, with dividend growth, would be yielding more than the index yield of 1½% going into retirement. If the dividend goes up, Mr Clement, the yield rises too. Look into dividend growth. After a decade, the average yield on original cost of Connolly Report stocks was 8.1%* (eight point one beats the market with out counting capital gains). Now, here's the bonus...the double double (Tim Horton and I both went to St. Mike's). CAGR on dividends was 8.2%* and, because dividend growth drives price growth, Jonathan, price CAGR was 8.6%* from 2009 to 2019. With dividend growth a company's yield grows over time and enhances retirement income. In fact, the need for any bonds is often eliminated. In his 2018 Letter to Shareholders, Warren Buffett put it this way: " . . . eventually stocks become safer than bonds ... *The Connolly Report dividend growth summary, year-by-year and decade long CAGR on dividends and CAGR price is prepared every Fall. It's part of your $50 access fee. This year's report might be the last CAGR as next year I'm 40 years with the report and I'm eighty. Time to quit!
  * After a decade or so, quality dividend growth stocks provide __yields__ which outpace the TSX and that's without factoring in appreciation in the stock price. Learn about this inside. The entry fee is $50.  Alternatively, read //Building Wealth with Dividend Stocks// by Joseph Tigue or ♣ Your Growing Income by Henry Mah. You'll be tens of thousands of dollars ahead. We are hundreds of thousands ahead having started at the turn of the century. If you are not disciplined and patient, forget it and index with an over-diversified ETF full of mediocre issues. Quality does it, holding does it. Facts about dividend, as the dividend goes so does the price, say, do not cease to exist because one ignores them.   * After a decade or so, quality dividend growth stocks provide __yields__ which outpace the TSX and that's without factoring in appreciation in the stock price. Learn about this inside. The entry fee is $50.  Alternatively, read //Building Wealth with Dividend Stocks// by Joseph Tigue or ♣ Your Growing Income by Henry Mah. You'll be tens of thousands of dollars ahead. We are hundreds of thousands ahead having started at the turn of the century. If you are not disciplined and patient, forget it and index with an over-diversified ETF full of mediocre issues. Quality does it, holding does it. Facts about dividend, as the dividend goes so does the price, say, do not cease to exist because one ignores them.
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**WARNING about ETFs**: **WARNING about ETFs**:
-By definition, index ETFs can't win. And, as the market is high just now (early 2020 ) the Dow over 28,000 for the first time ever) ETFs will, going forward, most likely lose again. Returns are determined by valuation! Funds certainly lost the last time the market was high. From 2000 to early 2009 the TSX gained only 0.74% a year. . . less than 1% a year. Over about the same decade, however, the CAGR* for dividend growth stocks was 9.6%. You do not buy an index ETF when the market is high. *compound annual growth rate In 2008, the market was high. From 2008 to 2018, dividend growth on the stock the Connolly Report follows was 9.0%. In the same period, the TSE was up only 1.6%. ♣ There are stocks in the index that do not pay a dividend, let alone raise their dividends. Where will your retirement income come from? Yields on ETFs are low. If you buy a stock that does __not__ pay a dividend, you are betting someone else will pay a higher price than you did.+By definition, index ETFs can't win. This was proved again beginning on February 24th 2020 ETFs will, going forward, most likely lose again. Returns are determined by valuation: the price you pay to get in. Funds lost the last time the market was high. From 2000 to early 2009 the TSX gained only 0.74% a year. . . less than 1% a year. Over about the same decade, however, the CAGR* for dividend growth stocks was 9.6%. You do not buy an index ETF when the market is high. *compound annual growth rate In 2008, the market was high. From 2008 to 2018, dividend growth on the stock the Connolly Report follows was 9.0%. In the same period, the TSE was up only 1.6%. ♣ There are stocks in the index that do not pay a dividend, let alone raise their dividends. Where will your retirement income come from? Yields on ETFs are low. If you buy a stock that does __not__ pay a dividend, you are betting someone else will pay a higher price than you did
 +Your savings are sacred: don't let someone who has no skin in the game, play with your money. Learn to do it yourself.
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Most investors do not know, let alone believe, that as the dividend rises the price of the stock will also rise. Think. If a company is throwing off more cash each year (dividends), it's more valuable. Inside this site I prove this in many ways. Here is just one example from Burton Crane's 1959 book (The Sopisticated Investor, page 13) If an investor had put $10,000 into each of the various 101 NYSE stocks in 1913, by 1953 the dividend received would have been $10,140,258. What had the price of the stock grown to? $10,141,731. As the dividends grow, so does the price of the shares! Most investors do not know, let alone believe, that as the dividend rises the price of the stock will also rise. Think. If a company is throwing off more cash each year (dividends), it's more valuable. Inside this site I prove this in many ways. Here is just one example from Burton Crane's 1959 book (The Sopisticated Investor, page 13) If an investor had put $10,000 into each of the various 101 NYSE stocks in 1913, by 1953 the dividend received would have been $10,140,258. What had the price of the stock grown to? $10,141,731. As the dividends grow, so does the price of the shares!
-  * ETFs allow so-called 'wealth managers', who know nothing about proper investing, to build a portfolio with a click or two. Ludicrous! I hold individual companies with a long record of increasing dividends.+  * ETFs allow so-called 'wealth managers', who know nothing about proper investing, to build a portfolio with a click or two. Ludicrous! I hold individual companies with a long record of increasing dividends. ♣ Here's another reason I never buy an ETF: AIMCo. It seems one of Alberta's pension traders lost some $2.1 billion in trades linked to volatility. AIMCo executives have been fired. Money manages toe the line. Portfolios are all too similar. If the managers don't conform and lose, they're out. We, as a result, with individual portfolios can win by selecting a few the best dividend growth companies and not adding scores of poor quality stocks.
Linked just below is a rather good item (May 23 2011) about reasons to buy and hold dividend growth stocks: Linked just below is a rather good item (May 23 2011) about reasons to buy and hold dividend growth stocks:
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