Second Quarter 2010

 “To not only learn but also effectively implement investment lessons requires a disciplined, often contrary, and long-term-oriented investment approach. It requires a resolute focus on risk aversion rather than maximizing immediate returns, as well as an understanding of history, a sense of financial market cycles, and, at times, extraordinary patience.” Seth Karlman

* Had you purchased Bank of Nova Scotia in 1990 though, after it got into trouble yet again, at a price half way between BNS's high and low price in 1990, $3.64 a share, your yield, because the dividend grew from .25 a share to $1.96, by 2010 would be 53%. Twenty years is a long time, but a 53.6% yield means a comfortable retirement. And, here's the icing on the cake: your capital would have grown from a split-adjusted $364. for 100 shares, to $3,659 per 100 shares. Unbelievable, eh! Do the math to check. I do not expect BNS's dividend to rise this year (2010). Ask me if I care? We are getting 53% on our money. I expect BNS's price to fall in 2010. Ask be if I care? I don't! I'm not selling. Would you sell an investment that is paying you $196 every year and that you paid $364 for? I think not. So, if you are not going to sell, the price does not matter. What a strategy dividend growth is. Buy an hold good dividend-growing common stock (never preferred).

http://www.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20100508/FACELIFT08ATL

I was interested in what this financial planner did not say. This planner, and most don’t, does not understand dividend investing. No mention was made of dividend income or dividend growth. All those dividend stocks she already owned, and there was no mention of the essence of dividend investing: her yields are probably very high already and her income will grow as retirement progresses. And, with all that dividend income, she will most likely not be paying any tax at all, even on her OAS and CPP. What an error. The headline was off-putting too. In the actual newspaper it was “Time to shift away from risk” On the web site it was “Time to shift some investment holdings. If early retirement is the goal, a move away from market volatility is key.” Volatility is not risk. Volatility only become risk is you have to sell. This person at age 57 does not need to sell. Dividend stocks provide income. Why would you sell assets that provide a growing income? Culling maybe, but wholesale selling, no way, even though the market is overvalued. It’s the income that counts: the price of the stocks is irrelevant as she should not sell. What's important is the sustainability of the dividend. Dividend eliminations are very rare. Folks need income in retirement: dividend-paying common stocks provide it. Forget about all that GIC income ladder bunk. In the long run, GICs are not really secure: they have lost value every year since 1932.